2021-22 College Basketball Rankings

Published: November 8, 2021

Keroack Composite Ratings

What is the Keroack Composite Rating

The Keroack Composite Rating is a composite of the KenPom and Sagarin ratings. I basically converted the KenPom and Sagarin ratings to an index of 0 – 100 and then calculated the weighted average, giving slightly more importance to the KenPom rating. The best team is rated 100. The worst team is rated 0. An average team is rated 50.

2021-22 Elo Ratings

What is an Elo Rating

An Elo rating is a points-based system for rating competitors. The Elo rating system uses actual performance data (wins and losses). If a team wins more games than expected, it’s rating will go up. If they lose to teams that they should beat, the rating goes down. 

I like the Elo rating system because it is dynamic and reacts to actual results. This means that, theoretically, the model gets more accurate over time as more data/results are inputted into the system.

Using Elo Ratings to Calculate Expected Win Probability

  1. Download the Elo Win Probability Calculator
  2. Enter each team’s current Elo rating.